Nadeesha Cabral

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Conjunctive Events Bias

June 24, 2020

    • We are prone to biases that overestimate the probability of conjunctive events: “Linda is a librarian and a feminist”
    • The bias comes from attributing optimism for unrelated events and bucketing them together: “I know she’s a librarian, and she might be a feminist as well”
    • Disruption is the rule, not the exception.

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